Memorial Day Service Plays 05/25/09

[Can'tPickaWinner]

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Thank you, wilheim..

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[Can'tPickaWinner]

To all the Men and Woman who have served and continue to serve this great country!

[Don Wallace]

[ free Play ] Denver -4 over Los Angeles

[cork999]

Tony Weston
Tony Weston MONDAY'S PLAYS 25 Dime Lakers
10 Dime Lakers-Nuggets Under




tony will not have the write up till later today. i will be gone for the rest of today, if going fishing and if i get back early i will post his write up.



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED-----------GL GUYS

[stanz]

SportsOddsAndPicks.com for Monday

They went 14-5 last week.

NBA Playoffs

DENVER (-4.5) over L.A. Lakers

Major League Baseball

OVER 10 RUNS LA Dodgers at Colorado
MINNESOTA -120 (with Liriano) over Boston

[mp5070]

Rated Picks

Denver -4.5 GOTY

White Sox +145
Blue Jays -110

[golden contender]

On Memorial day Monday the free play is the La.Angels.Game 980 at 9:05 eastern.Normally I stay away from favorites over 150.However tonight the Angels have several positive indicators in place.For technical purposes lets take a look at a solid system thats 12-2 and plays on LA.What we want to do is play on home favorites that scored 10 or more runs in a road dog win vs an opponent off a home loss.We can tighten it up to 5-0 if that road dog win was at +140 or higher.The average win score is 7-4 in these games.So we can see these home team carry that big dog win into there next game.The Angles are also sending E.Santana to the mound and he is a dominant home pitcher in his career.The Angels have won both times this year as a home favorite of -150 to -175.For Chicago its Lefty J.Danks,and he has been awful of late with a 6.13 era over his last 3 starts and has a 5.91 road era this year.The Whitssox are 7-14 on the road this year including 1-5 when the total is 8 to 8.5. For the Free play back the Angels on Monday bol.GC-

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports free play
13-2 last 15

Memorial Day Baltimore

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Hondo

May 25, 2009

The Angels came through for their colleague Hondo yesterday, decking the Dodgers to send the profits soaring past the half-grand mark.

Tonight, with 510 brohamers stuffed into his pocket, Price looks right for the Rays -- 10 units on Tampa Bay to rock Cleveland.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Mr. A's

Los Angeles Lakers +4½

Monday, May 25, 2009 2:10 PM EST.
Boston Red Sox (26-18) at Minnesota Twins (22-23)
(R) Brad Penny (4-1) vs. (L) Francisco Liriano (2-5)
Oddsmakers: Minnesota as a -120 home favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.

Boston Red Sox +105

Monday, May 25, 2009 6:05 PM EST.
Tampa Bay Rays (23-23) at Cleveland Indians (17-28)
(L) David Price (0-0) vs. (R) Fausto Carmona (2-4)
Oddsmakers: Cleveland as a -110 home favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.

Tampa Bay Rays -105

[Can'tPickaWinner]

MLB Computer Picks

Toronto Blue Jays -110
New York Mets -175
Chicago Cubs -170

[Can'tPickaWinner]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE

(1) L.A. Lakers (10-5 SU, 8-7 ATS) at (2) Denver (9-4 SU, 12-1 ATS)

The Lakers, who quickly restored the home-court advantage they lost in Los Angeles with Game 3 victory in Denver, look to take command of this best-of-7 Western Conference Finals series when they face the Nuggets at the Pepsi Center.

Los Angeles trailed throughout much of Game 3 Saturday, but a key Trevor Ariza steal and 41 points from Kobe Bryant helped the Lakers nab a 103-97 victory as a 3½-point road underdog, snapping Denver’s 16-game home win streak. Pau Gasol (20 points, 11 rebounds) had yet another double-double, and Ariza finished with 16 points. L.A. enjoyed a huge edge at the free-throw line, making 31 of 45 attempts (68.9 percent); Denver’s percentage was much higher (83.9), but the Nuggets only had 31 attempts, making 26.

Carmelo Anthony led Denver with 21 points, but only three of those came in the second half as he fell well short of his 28 ppg playoff average, after scoring 39 and 34 points, respectively, in Games 1 and 2. Anthony went 4 of 13 from the floor, and Chauncey Billups (18 points, seven assists) was just 5 of 15, and Denver shot a dismal 5-for-27 from three-point range (18.5 percent).

Los Angeles is 12-1 SU in its last 13 playoff games against Denver and has won seven straight postseason tilts in the Mile High City. The Lakers have won five of seven clashes this season, going 4-3 ATS, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings with the Nuggets. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five contests, including all three games in this series.

Denver is 39-9 SU (29-18-1 ATS) on the year at home, including a 6-1 SU and ATS mark in the playoffs. Los Angeles is 32-15 SU (26-21 ATS) on the highway this season, including 3-3 SU and ATS in the playoffs.

The Nuggets’ perfect playoff ATS mark went out the window Saturday. However, they are still 23-7 SU in their last 30 overall, and they remain on spread-covering sprees of 22-7 overall, 10-2 as favorite, 6-1 as a playoff chalk, 7-2 against the Pacific Division and 21-5 against the West.

The Lakers are on ATS upswings of 21-7-2 as a road pup, 6-2 catching less than five points on the road and 5-2 as a playoff pup of the same price, but they carry negative ATS streaks of 0-4 after a SU win and 1-5 after a spread-cover.

For Los Angeles, the under has hit in seven straight games and is on surges of 11-2 overall, 5-1 on the road and 8-0 in the conference finals. The over is 10-5 in Denver’s last 15 games at home, but the under is 6-2 in its last eight as a favorite of less than five points.

Finally, with the first three games of this series staying low, the under is now 9-1 in the last 10 clashes between these two teams, and the last six meetings in Denver have stayed under the posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (26-18) at Milwaukee (26-18)

The Cardinals kick off a six-game road trip at Miller Park where they will send Chris Carpenter (2-0, 0.00 ERA) to the mound to face the Brewers’ Yovani Gallardo (4-2, 3.83 ERA).

St. Louis had its five-game winning streak snapped on Sunday when the Royals got the 3-2 victory to salvage one game of the interleague series. The Cardinals are just 9-9 on the road this year and will head west to visit the Giants for a three-game series after their stop in Milwaukee. Meanwhile, the Brewers were swept by the Twins over the weekend, ending a nine-game road trip that started with four straight wins, including three in St. Louis.

Milwaukee has dominated the Cardinals lately, winning 13 of the last 16 meetings, including four of the last five at Miller Park.

Carpenter made his first start in more than a month on Wednesday and didn’t allow a run and only three hits in five innings of a 2-1 win over the Cubs. It was just his sixth start in more than two years of battling injuries. His last two starts against the Brewers haven’t gone so well, but they were way back in the 2005 and 2006 seasons, allowing 13 runs on 19 hits in 11 1/3 innings, losing both games.

Milwaukee has won four of Gallardo’s last five outings, but his last one wasn’t pretty, as the right-hander gave up six runs on seven hits in five innings of Wednesday’s 6-4 loss in Houston. Prior to that he’d held the opposition to three runs or less in six of his first seven starts of 2009. He faced the Cardinals twice in the 2007 season and lost both times, allowing a combined 11 runs on 13 hits in 10 2/3 innings.

St. Louis is 10-4 in its last 14 series openers, but it is just 2-5 in its last seven on the road and 2-5 in its last seven Monday contests. With Carpenter on the mound, the Cardinals are on runs of76-29 overall, 35-16 on the road and 37-15 against N.L. Central teams. Despite getting swept by the Twins over the weekend, Milwaukee is on runs of 22-9 overall, 6-1 at home, 5-0 at home against right-handed starters, 40-19 as a favorite and 36-17 against N.L. Central teams.

The Cardinals are on “under” runs of 6-0 overall, 4-0 in series openers and 7-2 against N.L. Central teams, but the over is 9-2 in Carpenter’s last 11 roadies and 28-12-3 in their last 43 on the highway against right-handed starters. Milwaukee is on “under” streaks of 8-3 at home, 7-2 as a home favorite and 12-5 in Gallardo’s last 17 starts, but the over is 5-0 in the Brewers’ last five games on Monday and 9-3-1 in its last 13 when they face a right-handed starter.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (25-19) at Texas (26-17)

The two hottest teams in the American League begin a three-game set today at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington when the Yankees send Phil Hughes (2-2, 7.06 ERA) to the mound opposite Texas southpaw Matt Harrison (4-3, 4.71).

New York lost two of three to the Phillies over the weekend, including a 4-3, 11-inning loss on Sunday, but has still won 10 of its last 12 overall and six of its last eight on the highway. Meanwhile, the Rangers swept their in-state rivals in Houston over the weekend when they blanked the Astros 5-0 on Sunday. Texas has won 16 of its last 21 games overall and eight straight in front of the home fans.

The Yankees hold decisive advantages when these two clubs square off, winning 21 of the last 28 clashes overall and 21 of the last 29 in Texas.

Hughes has been inconsistent this season, including going 1-1 with a 10.80 ERA in his last three starts, and he’s 1-1 with a 9.38 ERA in his two road outings. The Yankees scored home wins over Baltimore and Minnesota in Hughes’ last two starts, but in his last roadie, Hughes allowed eight runs on eight hits in just 1 2/3 innings of a 12-5 loss to the Orioles. In his lone career start against Texas, he blanked the Rangers without a hit for 6 1/3 innings of a 10-1 victory in Texas back in May 2007.

Harrison is 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA and 15 strikeouts against just three walks in his last three starts. He threw a complete game in his last home outing, allowing two runs on five hits in a 3-2 win over the Mariners. Harrison faced the Yankees in August last season and allowed two runs on five hits in 6 1/3 innings of an 8-6 Texas victory.

New York is 5-2 in Hughes’ last seven starts, but just 2-5 in his last seven on the road. The Yankees are on further streaks of 4-1 against A.L. West teams and 4-1 on the road against teams with winning records. Texas is just 1-5 when Harrison starts as a home favorite but the Rangers are 5-1 in his last six starts against A.L. East squads. Furthermore, the Rangers are on runs of 6-1 in series openers, 7-3 against winning teams and 11-3 when they face a right-hander.

For the Yankees, the under is on runs of 5-1 in series openers and 5-0 against teams with winning records, but the over is 13-6-1 in their last 20 as a ‘dog and 8-3-1 in their last 12 on Mondays. The Rangers have topped the total in 20 of their last 32 Monday games, but otherwise for Texas the “under” is on stretches of 21-8 overall, 8-3 at home, 7-3 in series openers and 5-0 in Harrison’s last five outings. However the over is 9-3 in Harrison’s last 12 starts at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES

[bobygaleana]

Tampa Bay - 110

He has a NBA Game of the year. (Tonigts game=

Any?

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Dave Cokin free play

(977) TAMPA BAY RAYS
(978) CLEVELAND INDIANS
Take "(977) TAMPA BAY RAYS"

David Price is back up from the minors to start for Tampa Bay. Price has not been all that great at Durham, but I have to think his not wanting to be there has been a contributing factor. Price will want to make a statement here and he's got the right opponent to do so against. Fausto Carmona continues to be mediocre for the Tribe and the team just isn't any good. I can't go big on this play as Price likely goes only five or six innings, and the Rays will be without their starting middle infield. Bartlett is scheduled to have a day off and Iwamura is heading to the DL with what looked like a significant knee injury suffered on Sunday. But I'm still siding with the Rays to win the game.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Jim Feist free play

(973) DETROIT TIGERS
(974) KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Take "(973) DETROIT TIGERS"

The top two teams in the AL Central meet today in Kansas City as the Tigers take on the Royals. The second place Royals look to close their three game gap tonight as they send Gil Meche to the mound. Meche hasn't found the success this season as he's just 2-4 on the year with a 4.42 ERA. Meche has had success against the Tigers with a lifetime 8-4 record and 3.71 ERA. The first place Tigers, winners of seven of their last 10 games, send Justin Verlander to the hill. Verlander is having a fine season with a 4-2 record and 3.99 ERA. Verlander has also had great success against the Royals with a 7-1 record and 2.43 lifetime ERA. The Royals have the best ERA in the AL and the Tigers have the fourth best, so expect a close, hard fought pitching duel here on Monday. However, Verlander's career success against the Royals coupled with his fine season is too much to pass on. We'll take the visitors here on Monday.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Cappers Access

Nuggets
Brewers
Orioles

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Joe Wiz Free Play

Tb Rays

[Can'tPickaWinner]

DCI

Western Conference Finals
Game 4, best-of-7
DENVER 107, L.A. Lakers 104

[Can'tPickaWinner]

John Morrison 5-25
Florida Marlins [A]

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs

The Cubs look to snap a seven-game slide and take advantage of Pittsburgh's 2-8 record in their last 10 during game one of a series. Chicago is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-165). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MAY 25
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 14.967; Cincinnati (Harang) 16.112
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Under
Game 953-954: St. Louis at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.243; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.064
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+105); Over
Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Stults) 16.695; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.385
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+120); Over
Game 957-958: Atlanta at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Vazquez) 16.061; San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.918
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Over
Game 959-960: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 15.041; Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.568
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Under
Game 961-962: Washington at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 15.264; NY Mets (Maine) 14.317
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+170); Under
Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 13.110; Cubs (Dempster) 14.704
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-165); N/A
Game 965-966: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Gaudin) 14.677; Arizona (Davis) 15.585
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-125); Under
Game 967-968: Toronto at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 14.905; Baltimore (Guthrie) 13.755
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Over
Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Hughes) 17.195; Texas (Harrison) 16.036
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115); Over
Game 971-972: Boston at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Penny) 17.481; Minnesota (Liriano) 16.477
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Over
Game 973-974: Detroit at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 14.774; Kansas City (Meche) 15.056
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Under
Game 975-976: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Jakubauskas) 15.431; Oakland (Anderson) 14.307
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Under
Game 977-978: Tampa Bay at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 16.628; Cleveland (Carmona) 15.302
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Under
Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago White Sox (Danks) 14.347; LA Angels (Santana) 16.479
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Over

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

LA Lakers at Denver

After losing Game Three at home, Denver looks to bounce back and take advantage of LA's 1-5 ATS record in its last 6 games following an ATS win. The Nuggets are the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Denver favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

MONDAY, MAY 25
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
Game 513-514: LA Lakers at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 126.149; Denver 131.732
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-4 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Primetime Sports Advisors

Dbacks -122 *POD*
Det/KC under 8.5 -120

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Joe Wiz Premium

32-38 NBA run

Premium Nuggets
Pay after you win Over

[peppermillrick]

Super Pick pushes yesterday on the Brewers over 9. Today the Arthur Ralph Super Pick is the Boston Red Sox. God Bless our returning soldiers from Iraq and Afghanistan and all that have served. Thank you for your service!

[brady1983]

Larry Ness Monday

Oddsmaker's Error - MLB


Oddsmaker's Error on the Tex Rangers

7* Daytime Dominator - MLB


Daytime Dominator on the Det Tigers

Weekly Wipeout Winner - NBA

Weekly Wipeout Winner on the Den Nuggets