Service Plays Friday 05/29/09

[Can'tPickaWinner]

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[bigbopp32]

LockStarPicks.com

Free Play Dodgers ML

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Underground Sports Connection

Friday

100* Under Cubs/Dodgers

[Can'tPickaWinner]

GoldenContender Friday Mlb Comp Play

On Friday evening the comp play in bases is on the Tampabay Rays.Game 974 at 7:35 eastern.The Rays look to put an end to there current losing streak and come home to face a Minnesota Twins team that is just 5-14 on the road this year.The Twins have struggled as road dogs in this range.Tampa has won 3 of 4 games this year as a home favorite from -125 to -150.They have a big pitching edge with J.Shields.In his home starts Shields has a solid 2.89 era and has pitched very well over his last 3 starts.The Twins send righty S.Baker to the mound and he has struggled on the road this year with a 9.31 era.Tampa hasnt had problems with the bat lately as they are averaging over 7 runs per game over there last 7 games. For the free play back the Tampabay Rays bol GC-

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Hondo

May 29, 2009

The dreaded Bosawx took care of business in Minne sota yesterday as Varitek creamed the Twinkies to send Hondo about a quarter-mile north of solvency at 440 carbos.

Tonight, there'll be no cheers for Cliffy in Cleveland (as per the norm). Ten units on Pettitte and pals to do a number on the Native Americans.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Dave Cokin free play

(965) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
(966) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Take "(966) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS"

Joel Pineiro has been pitching solid ball for the Cardinals, but he's not getting a whole lot of run support. That may be the case again tonight as he duels Matt Cain and the Giants in San Francisco. The Giants are playing terrific ball at home while the Redbirds are just a .500 team away from Busch. I'm siding with Cain and the Giants to capture tonight's tilt.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Jim Feist free play

(969) BOSTON RED SOX
(970) TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Take "(970) TORONTO BLUE JAYS"

Toronto is glad to be home after a miserable road trip, losing 9in a row. This is not an overrated team falling apart. They lost 3 of those games by one run and another by two runs, 12-10, blowing a huge lead. Most important, the Jays are off a day to rest the bullpen and they are 16-6 at home. Toronto is tops in batting and 4th in runs in the AL. An indoor park on turf is not a good mix for a knuckleballer like Tim Wakefield, who has a 6.27 ERA his last three starts after a red-hot start. A great place for the home dog. Play the Blue Jays.

[mp5070]

John Morrison

System Bet

Toronto (A)

[HarleyRoadKing]

Rated Picks

NBA -
DENVER -5
DENVER -3 1H
DENVER -2 1Q

NBA 5/30 -
Releasing a day early before the line moves against us.
Magic -1.5

MLB -
Marlins +160
Yankees +120

[boomshakalaka]

#955 - MLB - 3 units on Houston +115
#960 - MLB - 3 units on Milwaukee -115
#961 - MLB - 3 units on San Diego +123
#964 - MLB - 3 units on Arizona +115
#966 - MLB - 3 units on San Fracisco -122
#981 - MLB - 3 units on Oakland +105 (GAME 1)

#521 - NBA - 3 units on LA Lakers +5.5

Today's Free Pick is LA & Denver Under 208.5

[favrelover]

Fast Cash Freddy Wills

(957) FL MARLINS
(958) NY METS
Take (958) NY METS

There is no fooling how well the Mets have hit LHP this year. In fact they lead the league with a .337 average and 7.73 RC/27outs. They will face rookie Sean West who was recalled from AA when the Marlins sent down Nolasco. He pitched 5IP of shutout ball vs. the Rays in his debut. The Rays hitting just .284 vs. LHP left 5 runners in scoring position against West. In my opinion the juice will be out of the arm of West as he'll now make his second MLB start.

On the mound for the Mets is Mike Pelfrey. I absolutely love backing him here. He pitched extremely well against the Red Sox and now has a 2.70 ear in 20IP with a 1.1whip in his last 3 starts. People were all over this guy early on as a 1 year wonder, but I knew he would come back strong in May. He is a sinker ball pitcher. Sinker ball pitchers always struggle early in the year. Now that he has the movement on his pitches he is primed to go on a nice run here. Pelfrey has struggled against the Marlins in the past, but his last 2 starts were good enough to get a win in my opinion 6.2IP 2ER, and 6IP 3ER. If he pitches the same way here today the Mets will win this game with their bullpen.

Florida hitting just 3.58 Runs/9 in their last 5 vs. RHP.

Take Mets -165 (2U Free Play)

[fly73]

SPORTS ADVISORS
NBA PLAYOFFS
WESTERN CONFERENCE

(1) L.A. Lakers (11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS)
at (2) Denver (10-5 SU, 13-2 ATS)
The Lakers, on the brink of their second straight trip to the NBA Finals, travel to the Pepsi Center for Game 6 of their best-of-7 series against the Nuggets, who must hold home court to stay alive.Los Angeles scored the first 11 points of the fourth quarter in Game 5 Wednesday, breaking a 76-76 tie en route to a 103-94 win as a six-point chalk and taking a 3-2 series lead in the process. Kobe Bryant had 22 points and eight assists, Lamar Odom (19 points, 14 rebounds) and Pau Gasol (14 points, 10 rebounds) notched double-doubles, and the Lakers outshot the Nuggets by 10 percentage points (48.7-38.6).Carmelo Anthony paced the Nuggets with 31 points, but no other Denver play scored more than 12, and streaky guard J.R. Smith (seven points) went just 3 of 13 from the floor, including 1 of 10 from three-point range, after scoring 24 points in a Game 4 victory at home Monday.Los Angeles, which swept the Nuggets out of the playoffs in the first round last year, is 13-2 SU in its last 15 postseason games against Denver. The Lakers are also now 6-3 SU (5-4 ATS) against the Nuggets this season, and going back further, Los Angeles is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 clashes in this rivalry.Denver is 40-9 SU (30-18-1 ATS) on the year at home, including a 7-1 SU and ATS mark in the playoffs, the only blemish being a six-point loss to the Lakers in Game 3. Los Angeles is 32-16 SU (26-22 ATS) on the highway this season, but just 3-4 SU and ATS in the playoffs.The Lakers have cashed in eight of their last 11 as an underdog and sport additional positive ATS streaks of 21-8-2 as a road pup and 6-1-1 when catching five to 10½ points. However, they are on pointspread plunges of 0-4 after a spread-cover and 0-5 coming off a SU win.The Nuggets are on a 24-8 SU tear dating to the regular season, and along with their 13-2 ATS playoff mark, they carry positive pointspread streaks of 21-6 overall, 7-0 after a SU loss, 5-1 after a non-cover, 7-1 as a playoff chalk and 11-4 against the Pacific Division.The under has hit in four of five games in this series and is 10-2 in the last 12 clashes between these squads, including 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Denver.Los Angeles has stayed low in eight of its last nine contests and the “under” is on additional surges for the Lakers of 12-3 overall, 9-1 in the conference finals and 11-4 on the highway. Finally, the under is 5-1 in Denver’s last six against Pacific Division teams, but the over is 11-5 in its last 16 home games (all as a favorite).
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE
Cincinnati (26-20) at Milwaukee (27-20)
Two of the top three teams in the N.L. Central begin a weekend series at Miller Park, with the Reds’ Johnny Cueto (4-2, 2.37 ERA) scheduled to take the ball in the opener against the Brewers’ Braden Looper (4-3, 4.47).Cincinnati brings a four-game winning streak into Milwaukee, including a three-game home sweep of the Astros that ended with Wednesday’s 6-1 victory. The Reds, who trail the Brewers by a half-game and the Cardinals by one full game in the N.L. Central standings, are also 6-1 in their last seven divisional contests, but they’ve lost 14 of their last 19 after a day off.The Brewers have lost two in a row and five out of six – all against right-handed starters – and the big problem has been a struggling offense that’s produced three runs or fewer in all six contests (a total of 12 runs in all). In fact, Milwaukee has gone nine straight games without scoring more than four runs. Despite their recent funk – which comes on the heels of a 22-6 roll – the Brewers are still on hot streaks of 12-5 at home, 17-6 against the N.L. Central, 16-5 against teams with a winning record and 10-1 in series openers.The Reds have taken three of the first five in the season series, and they’re 8-3 in their last 11 games at Miller Park.Cueto got a no-decision in Cincinnati’s 4-3 11-inning victory over Cleveland on Sunday, giving up all three runs (two earned) in seven innings. The right-hander has pitched at least seven innings in seven straight starts, giving up three earned runs or fewer in six of those contests, and he’s posted a 1.98 ERA during this stretch. With Cueto on the bump, the Reds are on streaks of 4-1 overall, 4-1 against the N.L. Central and 4-1 on Friday, and they’ve won all four of his road starts this year, with the right-hander going 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA.Looper surrendered five runs (four earned) on nine hits over six innings in Saturday’s 6-2 loss at Minnesota, and he’s got a 5.67 ERA in his last six starts. On the bright side, the Brewers are 4-1 in the right-hander’s five home outings this season, with Looper going 2-1 with a 4.66 ERA.As a rookie last season, Cueto went 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA in three starts against the Brewers, giving up two runs in all three games, but Cincinnati lost two of those contests. Meanwhile, Looper is 5-3 with a 3.86 ERA and eight saves in 38 career games (eight starts) against the Reds, including a 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA in two starts this season.The over is 4-0 in Looper’s last four divisional starts, but with Cueto pitching, the “under” is on runs of 6-2 overall, 11-2-1 on the road and 4-1 versus the N.L. Central.The over is 4-1 in the five series meetings this year and 8-3 in the last 11 clashes in Milwaukee. Additionally, the Reds have topped the total in seven of their last eight games against the N.L. Central. However, the under is on streaks of 12-5-1 for Cincinnati on the road, 10-2-2 for Cincy after a day off, 4-1-1 for Cincy on Friday, 4-1 for Milwaukee overall, 10-4 for Milwaukee at home and 20-6-2 for Milwaukee after a defeat.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CINCINNATI


AMERICAN LEAGUE
Boston (28-20) at Toronto (27-23)
The freefalling Blue Jays look to snap a nine-game losing skid when they hand the ball to young right-hander Casey Janssen (0-1, 4.50) to begin a three-game series against the Red Sox and Tim Wakefield (6-2, 3.99) at the Rogers Centre.Toronto capped a winless nine-game road trip – the first time that’s happened in franchise history – with a disastrous 12-10 loss at Baltimore in 11 innings on Wednesday, blowing an 8-3 eighth-inning lead and a 10-8 11th-inning lead. The Blue Jays have hit just one home run – Aaron Hill’s two-run shot in the 11th at Baltimore on Wednesday – in its last eight games and only two long balls during its losing streak which started with three losses in Boston on May 19-21.On a positive note, Toronto has won four in a row and 13 of its last 17 at home, and it is 43-21 at home dating to last year. However, the Jays have lost eight straight games to A.L. East foes, and they’ve dropped seven of eight (and four in a row) to Boston since last season.The Red Sox are coming off a four-game series at Minnesota, and they salvaged a split with Thursday’s 3-1 victory. Still, Boston is a middling 3-4 in its last seven games and 7-8 in its last 15 (3-6 on the road). The Red Sox are also 3-6 in their last nine games versus right-handed starters, but they’re on positive stretches of 14-4 against winning teams, 4-0 against the A.L. East and 22-8 in series openers.Boston improved to 7-1 in Wakefield’s last eight starts with Sunday’s 12-5 rout of the Mets. The veteran knuckleballer did give up five runs on seven hits and four walks in six innings, but still picked up his sixth win of the season. Wakefield started the year with four consecutive quality starts, but he’s turned in just two such efforts in his last five trips to the mound, with his ERA jumping from 1.86 to 3.99 during this stretch.Wakefield is 2-2 with a 4.83 ERA in five road efforts this season and 17-11 with a 3.68 ERA in 49 career appearances (39 starts) against the Blue Jays. One of those victories came on May 19, when he allowed five hits and a run in eight strong innings and picked up the 2-1 home win. The right-hander has gone at least six innings in 10 straight starts against the Jays, giving up three earned runs or fewer in seven of the last nine.Janssen returned to the big leagues for the first time in 2009 on Saturday and lost 4-3 at Atlanta, yielding three runs on eight hits in six innings. Dating to last season, Toronto has lost eight of Janssen’s last nine starts, including the last five in a row, going 1-4 at home during this period. In his brief career, Janssen is 4-6 with a 3.36 ERA and two saves in 44 games (nine starts) at the Rogers Centre. Also, in eight career relief appearances against the Red Sox, he has pitched 7 1/3 scoreless innings.The over is 9-2-1 in Wakefield’s last 12 starts overall, 7-1-1 in his last nine on the road and 6-2 in his last eight against divisional opponents, but the under is 5-1-3 in his last nine Friday starts, 18-6-2 in his last 26 outings versus the Blue Jays and 7-0-1 in his last eight starts in Toronto. Meanwhile, with Janssen pitching, the “under” is on runs of 5-2 overall, 5-0-1 at home and 4-1 on Friday.The Blue Jays carry “under” trends of 5-2 overall, 8-3 against the A.L. East, 5-1 in series openers and 4-1 against righty starters. Boston is on “under” stretches of 10-3-1 overall, 6-1-1 on the road, 4-1-3 on Friday and 6-1-1 against right-handed hurlers. Finally, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in this rivalry, but six of the last eight battles north of the border have topped the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER

[fly73]

DUNKEL INDEX
LA Lakers at Denver
Facing elimination, the Nuggets return home and look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite between 5 and 10 1/2 points. Denver is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5).
Game 521-522: LA Lakers at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 125.617; Denver 133.388
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 8; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5; 209
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5); Over


MLB
Houston at Pittsburgh
The Pirates return home after a 10-game road trip and look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Pittsburgh is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-125).

Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.496; Cubs (Lilly) 15.626
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+110); N/A

Game 953-954: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 14.629; Philadelphia (Happ) 14.042
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+150); Under

Game 955-956: Houston at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 13.151; Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.296
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-125); Over

Game 957-958: Florida at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (West) 15.566; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.952
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-175); Over

Game 959-960: Cincinnati at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.929; Milwaukee (Looper) 15.423
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+110); Under

Game 961-962: San Diego at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 15.722; Colorado (Marquis) 14.475
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Under

Game 963-964: Atlanta at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 13.733; Arizona (Garland) 14.784
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+135); Under

Game 965-966: St. Louis at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.884; San Francisco (Cain) 17.003
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under

Game 967-968: Detroit at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Willis) 15.149; Baltimore (Bergesen) 16.253
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Under

Game 969-970: Boston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 15.010; Toronto (Janssen) 15.115
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120); Over

Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 17.363; Cleveland (Lee) 16.221
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+130); Over

Game 973-974: Minnesota at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.449; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.709
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-160); Over

Game 975-976: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.117; Texas (Feldman) 16.667
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-165); Under

Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Richard) 14.287; Kansas City (Bannister) 14.973
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-145); Under

Game 979-980: Seattle at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.021; LA Angels (Lackey) 16.538
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Over

Game 981-982: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Outman) 15.717; Texas (Hunter) 14.867
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 11
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Under

[boomshakalaka]

NL Game of the Month 9*
St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants 10:15 PM ET
San Francisco Giants -118

Last day posting Larry Ness picks…will post further picks for today if he releases them.

[boomshakalaka]

Larry Ness confirmed pick - Situational Mismatch 7*
Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays 7:38 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays -138

[CaliDreaming]

c jordan
400 SF
100 Over Colorado
50 Lakers Moneyline

[backdoorcover1]

WUNDERDOG PLAY

Game: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -140 (moneyline)

The Twins are one game shy of .500 for the season, but that doesn't speak of the problems they have had on the road. The Twins come to Tampa with the fewest road wins in baseball at five, while dropping 14. They are just 1-9 over their last 10 games on the road, and in the nine losses have been outscored 27-52. They will face the Rays’ ace, James Shields who has been lights out at home over his career. The last three seasons have seen Shields produce an 18-6 mark at home, with his worst season being an ERA of 3.53, but last year 2.59, and this season-to-date 2.89. He squares-off against Scott Baker who has been awful on the road, posting an 0-2 mark and 9.31 ERA. The Twins’ struggles against the American League East have been ongoing, where they enter this one just 16-35 in their last 51 games. The Rays are 22-7 in Shield's last 29 home starts, and they have a big edge in this one. I’ll tale the Rays on the moneyline here

[fly73]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Charlie Sports

500* St. Louis @ San Francisco under 7' & Lakers @ Denver under 209
30* Lakers +5'
20* Cincy @ Milwaukee Under 8'
20* Boston -125
10* Milwaukee -120
Dodgers -110 Free Play

[karson8]

Al McMordies card for the day will post more later if he has anything else.

Our 3 selections tonight include the Rangers in the 2nd game of their Doubleheader; the Pirates; and the OVER in the Mets/Marlins game.

Paid and Confirmed.

[boomshakalaka]

Oddsmaker's Error 8*
Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles 7:05 PM ET
Detroit Tigers 109

[fly73]

Ben Burns
Play Title **EARLY** Burns' AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR! (12-6 L18)

I'm playing on CHICAGO.
Cubs to a much-needed victory.
*Annihilator

[LAyZbOi]

Ben Burns
Play Title **EARLY** Burns' AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR! (12-6 L18)

I'm playing on CHICAGO. *Annihilator
Still looking for his nba play

[fly73]

Gerry "BIG CAT" Andino :: Won his 20* yesterday on Magic/Cavs over 190.

20* NBA Denver under 209(100 Dime NBA LOCK CLUB)
10* MLB Dodgers +100
10* NBA Denver -5.5
10* MLB Reds +110
10* MLB Minnesota +140
10* MLB Yankees over 9

[jnc750]

Anthony Redd

Friday's Card
5 Dime Lakers

[fly73]

Private Players Of Pittsburgh

Off 3% Loser Last Night

2% Under La/den